Angers – Lorient, Lyon – Marseille – Nach Welt

Ligue 1 is back after the international break and Jake Osgathorpe has picked his best bets from the weekend’s list.


Football betting tips: Ligue 1

1.5 points Both teams score in Rennes – Montpellier at 23/20 “No” (BetVictor)

1.5 pts. Both teams will score in Angers v Lorient at 19/20 (bet365)

1 point under 2.5 goals in Lyon – Marseille in 6/4 (bet365, Boylesports)

Sky Bet-Quoten | Paddy-Power | Betfair Sports Betting

Angers against Lorient

Angers are winless on four occasions at the start of this game but are in the top half after a good start to the campaign after losing only three out of 13.

You have a marginally positive xG process (1.21 xGF, 1.17 xGA per game), which bodes well for the season as a whole, but it also shows that they are creating and admitting opportunities in a similar manner.

It is therefore not surprising that goals came in during the Angers games The Scoists scored a goal in 92% of Ligue 1 games this season and only four clean sheets in 13 games.

Lorient are a few places and three points behind their opponents on Sunday, but are fortunate enough to be that high in the table and rank as the second worst team in the league based on xPoints.

They were a real mess defensively, so that one a whopping 1.62 xGA per game, but they found a way to score regularly, which helped them earn points.

The hake have scored in 82% of Ligue 1 games and have only conceded three goals this season REACH BOTH TEAMS Bet.

In the Angers games, BTTS landed 69% of the time and it’s the same number for Lorient this season so the odds available seem a solid bet.

Result prediction: Wut 2-1 Lorient (Sky Bet-Quoten: 7/1)

WHAT ARE EXPECTED GOALS? USE xG TO INCREASE PROFITS IN FOOTBALL BETTING

Lyon – Marseilles

Lyon have been exceptionally bad this season under Peter Bosz as they take seventh place in the table, but still occupy them 13. in the xG table from Infogol based on xPoints.

Defensively, they were a mess this season, as no Ligue 1 team allows any more xGA per game as Lyons 1.74.

That’s a huge problem, and while their offense saved their defenses in some games, their defensive structure is the main reason they only won five out of 13 league games.

They were a high-scoring team in general, but while Marseille started like that, they’ve calmed down ever since.

Jorge Sampaoli’s team’s first three games all went over 3.5 goals, but in the 10 games since then only two have seen three or more goals.

You have averaged 1.24 xGF and 1.48 xGA per game Over that period, and if we just look at their last six, their attack numbers have really gone down (1.09 xGF per game) while their defense offers more chances (1.71 xGA per game).

Even so, OM are fourth in Ligue 1 and the move from chaotic end-to-end football has seen fewer goals in their games this season.

In total, 11 of Marseille’s 17 games were seen in Ligue 1 and Europa League games UNDER 2.5 GOALS.

That’s the choice here, mainly due to Marseille’s changed setup and style, but also due to the defensive weaknesses both exhibited as neither wants to be knocked down and overly exposed in this game.

Choc des Olympiques – as this rivalry is called – has only scored a few goals in the last few games, with all of the last three going under 2.5 goals.

Result prediction: Lyon 1-1 Marseille (Sky Bet-Quoten: 13/2)

Rennes – Montpellier

Rennes went into the international break after a brilliant 4-1 home win against Lyon, a game in which they created opportunities at will (xG: REN 3,75 – 0,95 LYO).

This result extended their unbeaten run in Ligue 1 to seven and Red and black have the second-best home record in the top French division, won five and lost one of the seven games at Roazhon Park.

Based on xG, it’s no surprise Rennes have such a good home record. average 1.55 xGF and 0.99 xGA per game, create a lot and at the same time limit their opponents.

They host a team from Montpellier that started this season despite losing their two strikers this summer – Gaetan Laborde and Andy Delort – and have won three of the last four, including against second-placed Lens and third-placed Nice.

Some of those results were fortunate, and that was the story of her season so far when she finished sixth in Ligue 1, however 14. in Infogol’s xG table based on expected points (xPoints).

Outside of home, they fought mightily, especially when attacking, on average only 0.79 xGF per game on their travelswhich makes them the second worst offensive team on the road behind St-Etienne (0.78).

So when we consider Rennes are a solid home team and Montpellier had offensive battles on the streets that went against the grain and the back BOTH TEAMS RECEIVE ‘NO’ appeals.

This bet has landed eight of Rennes’ 13 (62%) league games this season, and in five of their seven (71%) home games.

While Montpellier are known as the free scoring team and have scored 1.62 goals per game this season, their xGF per game of 1.17 shows they are scoring at an unsustainable rate.

Result prediction: Rennes 2: 0 Montpellier (Sky Bet-Quoten: 13/2)


The best bets for the Ligue 1 weekend

  • 1.5 points Both teams score in Rennes – Montpellier at 23/20 “No” (BetVictor)
  • 1.5 pts. Both teams will score in Angers v Lorient at 19/20 (bet365)
  • 1 point under 2.5 goals in Lyon – Marseille in 6/4 (bet365, Boylesports)

Odds correct at 1650 BST (11/18/21)


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Reference-www.nach-welt.com

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